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What Not to Promise

Four wave emitters generate destructive interference, while a focused constructive wave travels unimpeded; represents distinguishing unpromisable items from controllable elements
Four types of things not to promise: specific rankings, post-visit conversions, third-party platform outputs, and quantitative goals based on third-party estimates

IN ONE SENTENCE

Four things not to promise: a specific rank, post-visit conversion, third-party platform output, and targets built on third-party estimates.

Four kinds of commitment cannot be met in this field: a specific rank, post-visit conversion, third-party platform output, and quantified targets built on third-party estimates. Promising them wins the contract and costs the credibility.

OUR POSITION

Not promising is not the same as being vague. Each has a committable substitute — the point is separating what you control from what depends on others, rather than blurring both.

01

The four, and what to say instead

A specific rank: AI answers have no stable position structure. Instead: commit to mention rate and average position improvement across a fixed question set.

Post-visit conversion: depends on product, pricing, landing experience and sales process. Instead: commit to isolating the AI channel and reporting explainable conversion data; write a conversion target only where both sides share the definition.

Third-party platform output: communities remove marketing content, named reviews depend on customers, editorial adoption is not yours. Instead: commit inputs — volume, channel types, standards and review process.

Quantified targets on third-party estimates: those traffic and difficulty figures are estimates. Instead: use them to prioritise, and hang acceptance on first-party analytics and server logs.

02

Why these four are particularly dangerous

All four look committable — they have numbers and tools that measure them. That is exactly the danger: the definition mismatch or lack of control only surfaces at acceptance, when disputes are expensive.

Disagreement in the public research makes the point: one study values AI visitors at 4.4× organic, while a statistical analysis found no significant difference (p=0.794). With that spread, no specific conversion multiple has a basis.

03

One general practice

Write the commitment table in two columns: what we control (inputs and process metrics) and what depends on others (outputs and results). The second column carries observations, not commitments.

The benefit is that mid-project variance becomes a conversation about causes rather than about whether a promise was broken.

Data behind this page

4.4× / no significant difference

AI visitor value versus organic search (direction agrees, magnitude does not)

SourceSemrush (Jun 2025) versus Amsive's analysis (p=0.794),2025

13.1 / 3.4 / 0.1 / ≈0

Monthly clicks per keyword at positions 1–3 / 4–10 / 11–20 / 21+

SourceOur keyword-level analysis of 4,074 non-branded keywords for a leading site in this category,2026-06

Sources

  1. [1]Optimizing your website for generative AI features on Google Search.Google Search Central.2026-05-15
  2. [2]Google users are less likely to click on links when an AI summary appears.Pew Research Center.2025-07-22

Updated 2026-08-10